2008 elections
Divide and Conquer?
At least in the state of Pennsylvania, a new poll suggests that the divisive primary season for the Dems may bode well for the fortunes of Republican hopeful John McCain.
As reported by Cybercast News, a significant 1 in 5 supporters of either Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton state that they will vote for John McCain if their candidate does not become the Democrat nominee.
The significant number of potential defectors underscores how divisive the Democratic primary has been.
Democrats won Pennsylvania in the 2000 and 2004 presidential races, but it was a competitive state in both election cycles. McCain, meanwhile, has touted his appeal to swing voters.
"Pennsylvania is a must-win state for a Democratic presidential nominee," Nathan Gonzalez, political editor of the Rothenberg Political Report, told Cybercast News Service. "If there is a significant weakness for a Democrat in Pennsylvania, it could indicate a weakness in Ohio or other key states."
Even a few months ago, the presidential race looked like a major uphill climb for any Republican candidate. But recent polls suggest a toss-up between McCain and either Democratic candidate.
Obama and Clinton both have many negatives, which doesn't make the Pennsylvania poll too surprising, said Doris Graber, a political science professor at the University of Illinois.
"Obama is very liberal, more liberal than we've seen on the campaign trail. Also, there is still racism out there," Graber told Cybercast News Service. "Hillary, we've known all along, has strong supporters. But there are also a lot of people who would never vote for her. There is some antipathy from the Clinton years. Some wouldn't vote for her because she's a woman."
Graber believes it is "almost a certainty" that the Obama-Clinton battle will be decided at the Democratic National Convention, which could drive a wedge through the party.
"Democratic voters could be persuaded not to vote for a candidate with vulnerabilities," she continued. "A vote for McCain wouldn't be that difficult. He does appeal to the middle."
Come convention time, even if these two can put on their best shows of loyalty for the sake of their party, if the wounds are too deep and the words have been too harsh, how are the campaign loyalists going to be able to back the "other" candidate, when it does come to that?
And as many negatives are raised and as much dirt is brought to the surface in this race, are those on the political fence going to be able to vote for either of these potential nominees when that time comes, if they see McCain as an attractive, viable alternative?
Time tells all.
Florida Aftermath - The Reagan Torch is Passed to McCain
Hardly!
Some interesting details regarding the McCain "base" can be found in the Fox News Florida Exit Poll.
Of particular note, would be the data concerning the issues of Illigal Immigration and Life.
I would also have to say that the final portion that reflects the Sunshine State's voter political-ideological affiliation, says a lot about the McCain "coalition".
Who can beat the Clinton Machine?
After my last post, which got stunning reviews; I thought I would follow up with another non-controversial subject.
Who in the Republican party can beat the Clintons? Now I know the gut reaction is going to be Anyone and Everyone should beat the Clintons, but I am more interested in who can actually beat them?
Huckabee doesn't seem to have the pull with the centrists. Romney doesn't have the pull with values voters. Giuliani, well, I'm less inclined to believe that he is a real candidate for President; I think he just likes a good vacation in Florida or something. McCain doesn't really seem to have conservative Republican support. Oh and most of you hate Ron Paul.
That being said, what is the winning ticket against a Hillary Clinton for President and Tom Vilisack for VP? Can Romney/Huckabee bury the hatchet? Will Huckabee's talk of amending the constitution sink them in the center or Romney's faccade' of being a human being instead of a plastic politician? At a time when the country appears to be leaning slightly to the left, and people are unsatisfied with the incumbent government - this may be the perfect opportunity for the Clintons to take Washington by storm.
Now, consider this.
A third party run by Mike Bloomberg, is the best opportunity that the country has to avoid another Clinton decade, and let me break it down for you why.
Ross Perot is often cited as taking the Presidency away from G H.W. Bush - because he ran as a center-right leaning populist. It is a known fact that many of Mike Bloomberg's social positions are center left, socially he is liberal, which means he will challenge the Democratic nod, whoever it is, even in traditionally Democratic states. Mike Bloomberg could actually win New York and California.
The way I see it, you need Mike Bloomberg to run, lest you face the Clinton Machine by yourselves, and do you really want another decade of that?
Sign the petition to encourage Mike Bloomberg to run - even if it is just an Anyone But Clinton vote.
- AndrewMac's blog
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Now that Senator Barack Obama has wrapped up the Democratic Party's presidential nomination, it's time for him to answer some questions about where he stands on the issues that are important to the American people. Here are my questions for the senator:
Kudos go out to President Bush today as he has gone on the offensive on two of our most critical issues we face right now in America.
Barack Obama is starting to make a dirty habit out of playing the race card during this presidential campaign.