The 2012 elections are over, the analysis has begun, and there’s plenty of fault to find. Most of my blog posts this year have had an election theme, but from a conservative Christian point of view. I am disappointed with the results but not disheartened as a Christian. Jesus Christ was my Lord and Savior before the elections, and He is today, and will be forever.
From a statistical standpoint, there is one area that I will investigate fully in the coming days, and that is what affect the many other Presidential candidates on the ballot made in the outcome of the election. Here is an early example. I live in Florida, one of the major swing states. As of about 5 PM this evening, Florida’s results still were not final. Obama had a lead of only 49,000 votes at this point. I totaled up the other candidates on the ballot, which none of them had any chance of winning whatsoever, and their votes total was 70,000! In every election I’ve witnessed, the throw away votes overwhelming benefit the Democrats. So, the math is easy here, Obama isn’t winning the state of Florida as much as the votes for the third party candidates has given him this state. Add the vast majority of those 70,000 votes to Romney’s total, and Romney wins easily! In the coming week or so, I am going to total up all of the key swing states and see if this thought process actually determined President Obama’s victory. read more »