On Sunday’s “Meet the Press,” GOP presidential soon-to-be also-ran Rick Santorum dismissed frontrunner Mitt Romney’s snowballing delegate count, declaring, “This isn’t a mathematical formula.” Later that day he told a Fox News reporter, “It’s pathetic isn’t it? I mean, now you’re gonna make the argument, ‘I should be president’ because of math.”
Actually, what isn’t mathematical about the delegate accrual process?
Presidential primary nomination season is rife with mathematical calculations. Each state boasts its own complicated apportionment formula, ranging from mostly proportional to quasi-proportional to winner-take-all. Savvy campaign managers earn big bucks planning winning strategies for accumulating the requisite number of delegates. Campaign tacticians create sophisticated statistical models to predict state, district, and citywide outcomes and to plot contingency routes for reaching a majority of delegates. Campaign finance staff forecast revenue from donations, estimate advertising costs, and manage a budget equivalent to that of a midsized company.
What does Santorum think is going to happen after his failure to clinch the nomination: that God will intervene and change the laws of mathematics for him? read more »
Now that we are in the middle of another presidential election season, the issues that the campaign will eventually be fought over are beginning to take shape. We are sure to hear a lot about health care, mandates, entitlements, debt, deficits and stimulus(s). There are even some made up issues, like contraception, created out of thin air by Democrats in order to replace issues that they are losing the American public on (like abortion and religious liberty), in an attempt to scare women into thinking that Republicans want to ban the pill.
But think for a moment about what we are not hearing much about anymore. It’s an issue that, for a few decades, liberals seemed physically unable to shut up about. The issue is gun control, and for this (and recent election seasons) it has been the dog that hasn’t barked.
Modern day Democrats have had an ongoing infatuation with gun control. It seemed that, whatever the problem, guns were the cause; and more gun control was the solution. But a funny thing happened on the way to liberal Nirvana, the American public didn’t go along.
Consider some findings from a recent Gallup poll: read more »
I wouldn’t want to be in Barack Hussein Obama’s shoes. So many lies to keep track of and far too many ‘little’ people willing to point them out. The Lame Stream Press has done an incredible job of contorting themselves into knots while running cover for the regime. It isn’t flying… at least, the regime’s aerodynamic qualities at this point are more akin to a balloon filled with lead… or gasoline.
Speaking of volatility, have you noticed the upsurge in ‘citizen journalists’ who have been taking the case for freedom and constitutional governance directly into the faces of some of the most rabid of the left wing Kool-Aid crowd? It’s a growing phenomenon which I, for one, am delighted to see. I don’t know who determined that journalists had to have some sort of ‘credentials’ to make them legitimate. The supposed ‘credentialed’ writers, pundits and talking (read ‘yammering’) heads, have failed miserably to make their case for MaoBama and his statist Utopian pipe dreams (and rumor has it that there’s plenty of that going on in Obama’s White House, as well). read more »
First of all, if you are offended by harsh words, you may not want to read any further. This piece will be filled with the kinds of words that I would take my kids out behind the wood shed for using. But, the use of these words is necessary to illustrate the problem at hand. First, the set up: Sandra Fluke is a thirty year old (not twenty-three, as reported) liberal activist. She graduated from Cornell University in 2003 with a degree in feminist, gender and sexuality studies. Fluke then enrolled in Georgetown Law School with the express goal of overturning the school’s health insurance policy exemption on birth control. Fluke is the co-president of the Georgetown chapter of Law Students for Reproductive Justice. And, it is thanks to this, that she was called to testify before the House Democratic Steering and Policy Committee hearing on women's health and contraception.
The end game here, of course, is the Obama Administration’s attempt to force religious institutions like Georgetown, a Catholic school, to cover the health care costs of things they find morally repugnant, like birth control. Under ObamaCare, things like one’s religious conscience take a back seat to unhindered access to condoms and birth control pills. The definitive protection of religious freedom provided by the first amendment is being over shadowed by the ever-expanding “emanating penumbras” of sexual freedom. read more »
Some are calling Barack Hussein Obama’s declared war on American energy his greatest liability. I agree. He has, in fact, a plethora of liabilities… few of which have been exploited by the very people who would depose our nascent imperial Presidenté.
That’s a story soon to be played out in the last days of the Republican primary race. I’m appalled at the timidity displayed by the Republican Party in general. Time and time again, the supposed gurus of the establishment have been wrong. “Oh!” they bleat, “don’t attack Barack Hussein, that will surely turn blacks and illegal aliens against us… women will flock to Obama’s banner in a reflexive spasm of misplaced identity politics”. Nonsense. Nothing can be farther from reality. Obama is badly damaged goods. The American people have been watching with an intensity that makes MaoBama’s leftists extremely nervous. read more »
Here are five surprising 2012 Super Tuesday delegate predictions, based on my analysis of Real Clear Politics polling averages, public opinion polls, straw polls, and recent events in the ten states voting tomorrow.
(The takeaway: Non-Romney candidates will have their moments in the sun… and then the Romney juggernaut will continue crushing everything in its path.)
Prediction #1: In almost every primary state, the candidate who wins the most delegates will win more delegates than all other candidates combined in that state
In other words, in each of the seven primary states (not the three caucus states, where anything goes), one candidate will almost always win more than 50% of that state’s delegates. This may seem unlikely, given the fractious nature of the 2012 GOP primaries, dispersed support for the remaining candidates, and the proportional nature of delegate allegation. However, these states’ apportionment systems are quasi-proportional, which means that large numbers of delegates end up going to the top two (occasionally three) candidates, and none to those who fail to meet a minimum threshold of 15% or 20% of the vote. An even larger haul goes to the first-place winner, even if he beats the runner-up by only a small percentage.
Prediction #2: Rick Santorum will win only two states, Oklahoma and Tennessee read more »
His meteoric rise to prominence in the conservative movement came just at the right time for his work to have a maximum effect on the American Patriot movement… and change it forever. I didn’t know Andrew. I’d always hoped to. He and Drudge are two of my mainstay aids in following daily news trends. If you’re an op-ed writer, you cannot have too many sources.
Andrew Breitbart was brilliant and fearless. He was also deeply feared and respected by not only the ObaMaoists, but by the Republican establishment we have all come to detest. Andrew went where many, who considered themselves to be conservative, hesitated. He took his issues directly to the murky world of leftist political correctness and defied them to challenge him. Most of those who tried usually came away lightly grilled… on both sides. An entire menagerie of Lame Stream Media morons took devastating shots at him, from the safety of the sidelines, and their vituperation rolled off him like water from a ducks back. He was never intimidated.
He never let up and he never failed to call the left on their lying prevarication. Others who knew him well write that he was a tireless worker for the causes of conservatism and American freedom. read more »
So far there’s not a whit of evidence that Mitt Romney’s “gaffes” in inadvertently referencing his personal wealth at campaign appearances and debates have cost him a single vote in the 2012 presidential election.
We hear from mainstream pundits and wire service reporters—most of whom wouldn’t dream of voting for a conservative but are terrified that Romney will be the GOP nominee—how Romney’s horrifying Freudian slips are bound to alienate undecided voters, Reagan Democrats, and moderate Republicans.
Romneys’ unspeakable comments have: extolled voluntary contracts in the free market (“I like being able to fire people… if someone doesn’t give me the good service that I need”), affirmed the social safety net (“I’m not concerned about the very poor—we have a safety net”), challenged candidate Rick Perry on a falsehood (“$10,000 bet?”), and expressed his support for the Detroit auto industry (“Ann drives a couple of Cadillacs”). These forbidden lines have supposedly frightened off otherwise open-minded voters and driven them straight into the comforting arms of everyman Obama. Good citizens everywhere were supposedly all set to pull the lever for Romney, but are now running screaming at the thought of a president who has achieved phenomenal business success in the private sector and isn’t ashamed of it. read more »
Everywhere we look we see tangible evidence of the depredations of Barry MaoBama Hussein and his Marxist brethren. Actually, it’s difficult at times to ascertain just exactly whose drummer Obama is stepping lightly to. We can see the tangible results of his masterful foreign policy. Mr. Apology is working overtime to placate a bunch of seventh century tribal savages, while his rules of engagement are ensuring that more of our Marines and soldiers are being killed for no reason other than his ineptitude… or his malice. Take your pick.
He sure looks, speaks and behaves like a man with an agenda. It’s blatantly evident to just about anyone, except the committed Kool-Aid crowd, that it’s not America’s agenda. With everyone’s attention pretty much locked onto the circular firing squads representing the race for the Republican nomination, most of Mr Obama’s very real liabilities are being swept under the rug. read more »
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