John McCain catching up with Obama
Despite the fawning media coverage of Barry's 2008 World Tour...including yesterday's speech in Berlin...Mccain has been keeping the race tight...even closing the gap in key battleground states. From the LA Times:
Republican presidential candidate John McCain is tightening the
presidential race against Democratic rival Barack Obama in four key states, according to polls released this morning.
The four polls conducted by Quinnipiac University in partnership with the Wall Street Journal and washingtonpost.com show that McCain is running slightly ahead of Obama in Colorado, is close in Minnesota and has narrowed the gap in Michigan and Wisconsin.In Colorado, McCain was ahead 46% to 44%. Obama led in Michigan, 46% to 42%; by 46% to 44% in Minnesota and by 50% to 39% in Wisconsin, according to the four state polls posted on the university website.
The new polling data come in a week in which Obama has virtually monopolized news coverage of the presidential campaign with a nine-day trip through war zones, the Mideast and Europe.
And the issue that's got the "gas" to make these numbers possible?
The issue that seems to have helped McCain in the polls released today was his support of offshore drilling for oil. As gasoline prices have risen sharply, other polls have shown that Americans are more likely to support offshore drilling, especially if they are in states where drilling isn't likely.
Voters in the four states support offshore drilling by margins of 22 to 31 percentage points. The polls also show that the voters in the four states would support drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge by a range of seven to 12 percentage points.
Energy policy ranked as the most important issue, eclipsing the war in Iraq, which has garnered most of the attention this week because of Obama's trip.
Aside from the energy issue, it may be that Obamamania is indeed producing a backlash among US voters... from the NY Sun:
Political and foreign policy analysts acknowledged that Mr. Obama risked creating the impression that he was cozying up too much to the European community, which some American voters view warily. And his extended trip abroad comes as he has yet to build the kind of commanding lead in the polls that some political observers had predicted, given the level of enthusiasm surrounding his candidacy. New surveys from Quinnipiac University released yesterday showed that Mr. McCain was closing the gap in four key states, including Michigan, Minnesota, and Colorado.
And Fox has a poll pointing out the large numbers of Americans who have a sneaking suspicion, based on the tone of quantity of Obama media coverage, that the boys and girls in the mainstream media are pulling for Barry.
You have to believe that there's some Obama fatigue out there among folks in the middle, (not just Republicans). Which makes you wonder whether or not he has "peaked" to early. (some are even suggesting that members of the press are getting a little tired of him)
Meanwhile, the wags suggest McCain's VP choice coming soon...at least before the Olympics. I'm still dubious about that. I think it's better to wait and use that headline to step on Barry's convention bounce.
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The way I see it, this race
The way I see it, this race is going to be decided by those who start taking interest in the election in late August. This country has been exposed to an Obama overload by the media, but there has been very little scrutiny of the candidate. I firmly believe that, at its heart, America is still a relatively conservative nation. The more the voting electorate learns about what's under the surface of the Obama facade, the more of those voters are going to tilt away from him.
Also, toss into the equation the phenomena we saw during the primaries where Obama continually polled much higher in the run-up to the primaries than he actually showed once the polls closed and the numbers were returned.
And then there's the backlash Obama may be starting to suffer from people who actually have the ability to discern immense media bias when they see it. The fawning all over BHO has been nauseating to me for well over a year. Imagine those who recognize it as bad as it has gotten, yet don't have the patience to endure it for as long as people with great interest in politics do. Immediate "turn off" to those coming onto the scene starting now!
I think things are looking very good for McCain.
McCain Cannot Win But Obama Can Lose
These surely are the most unimpressive choices for the office of President of the United States since the 1976 Ford vs. Carter campaign. In many ways the two candidates today are similar to the 1976 candidates. We have a far Left liberal Democrat with no international experience vs. a moderate Republican with a dull personality and a resume of extensive experience in the senate. The candidate representing the Republican party is expected to lose because of the hatred by the Left for the current administration. The candidate representing the Democratic party promises "change" and a clean slate. Because of his pardon of Nixon, Ford was hated by the left and was not embraced by conservatives either. McCain is closely associated with Bush's policies and the slogan "4 more years of Bush" is repeated like a mantra by Obama supporters. The more we learn about Obama the more we realize that he is truly unqualified to hold the nation's highest political office. However, the media and the Bush haters are trying their best to drag their candidate to the finish line. A disastrous liberal administration achieved power in 1976. Will the same happen again in 2008?
Steve McCullough
http://www.stevemc2.com