Forget the Gender Gap, America Has a Fertility Voting Gap

The mainstream media is enamored with the gender gap — poking fun at Republicans for supposedly being unable to attract women voters. Republicans have responded by pointing out that they do well with married women with families.

New York Times magazine noticed the fertility gap with an article that shows women with families and women with larger families are more likely to vote Republican.

But another, even more powerful feminine factor was at play in this election, as it has been in races past: Almost invisibly over the past decade, family size in America has emerged as our deepest political dividing line.

Stunningly, the postponement of marriage and parenting — the factors that shrink the birth rate — is the very best predictor of a person’s politics in the United States, over even income and education levels, a Belgian demographer named Ron Lesthaeghe has discovered. Larger family size in America correlates to early marriage and childbirth, lower women’s employment, and opposition to gay rights — all social factors that lead voters to see red. ...

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